Vegas has the Cavaliers at -700, which again is a 87.50% favorite. The Pacers are at +500 which equates to a 16.67% underdog. This is really hard to get behind.
You likely have never heard of Cardona, but if you wager on games of chance, and particularly parlays, you rely on his insights. In short, he gave us the odds.
From this, we can conclude that capper with a 57% record ATS would have 13% chance of correctly picking 52 or more winners, the winning range, in the Super Contest. A capper with a 60% record ATS would have a 29% chance of finishing in the winning range in the Super Contest. If, miraculously, you have a legitimate 65% record against the spread, then you would be a prohibitive favorite and expected to finish in the winning range 2 out of every 3 years, or 66% of the time.
There are two general problems with the purported concept that some bets are such locks that they merit a ten, twenty, thirty or forty times increase in your bet size. The first, more obvious problem, is the marketing manipulation involved in these claims. The second, more catastrophic problem, is that with the “10x Unit” wager you are almost certain to lose money betting these “locks,” even if we accept the touts proclamation that the wagers have gone 7-3 against the spread in the last ten wagers. With the facially absurd “40x Unit” wager, you are guaranteed to lose all of your bankroll.